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War and chance : assessing uncertainty in international politics / Jeffrey A. Friedman.

By: Publisher: New York : Oxford University Press, 2019Copyright date: ©2019Description: x, 228 pages : illustrations; 24 cmContent type:
  • text
Media type:
  • unmediated
Carrier type:
  • volume
ISBN:
  • 9780190938024
Subject(s):
Contents:
Introduction:'One of the things you learn as president is that you're always dealing with probabilities' -- Pathologies of probability assessment -- Subjective probability and international politics -- The value of precision in probability assessment -- Dispelling illusions of rigor -- The politics of uncertainty and blame -- Analysis and decision -- Practical implications and directions for further research.
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Item type Current library Home library Collection Call number Materials specified Copy number Status Date due Barcode
AM PERPUSTAKAAN TUN SERI LANANG PERPUSTAKAAN TUN SERI LANANG KOLEKSI AM-P. TUN SERI LANANG (ARAS 5) - JZ1253.F735 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) 1 Available 00002272923

Introduction:'One of the things you learn as president is that you're always dealing with probabilities' -- Pathologies of probability assessment -- Subjective probability and international politics -- The value of precision in probability assessment -- Dispelling illusions of rigor -- The politics of uncertainty and blame -- Analysis and decision -- Practical implications and directions for further research.

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